Institutional Financial Research & Analytics
Public & Private Debt

Credit Research

Public & Private Credit — Understanding Downside Before Underwriting Return

Strong credit work requires more than calculating leverage and coverage. It requires an understanding of cash conversion, liquidity, capital structure, refinancing needs, covenant flexibility and how the business behaves when conditions weaken.

Approach & Methodology

Asterion supports public debt and private credit investors with issuer-level and sector-level analysis for new underwriting decisions, relative-value assessment and ongoing portfolio monitoring.

Our credit research support is structured around the key question for lenders and fixed-income investors: what could impair repayment capacity, and how much protection exists if the base case does not hold?

We analyze debt tranches, structural subordination, asset collateral coverage and covenant headroom across direct lending, syndicated loans, mezzanine and high-yield instruments.

Workflows & Analytical Scope

Our support can be configured around specific questions or embedded within existing client coverage routines:

Issuer and business-risk fundamental assessment
Cash-flow conversion and free-cash-flow profiling
Leverage, interest coverage and debt-service metrics
Liquidity review and runway analysis
Debt maturity profiling and refinancing sensitivity
Capital structure and priority-of-claims review
Covenant headroom and carve-out assessment
Stress testing and downside downside-case modelling
Relative-value comparisons across peers and ratings
Credit underwriting memoranda
Ongoing covenant tracking and portfolio surveillance
Decision-Oriented Inquiry

Key Questions We Address

“Under severe operating stress or demand contraction, how does cash generation behave?”
“What is the true unencumbered liquidity cushion before drawing revolving credit lines?”
“Are there hidden liabilities, off-balance-sheet commitments or restrictive covenant tripwires?”
“What recovery value exists in an insolvency or debt restructuring scenario?”
Tangible Work Products

Typical Deliverables

  • Issuer credit tear-sheets and risk dashboards
  • Debt waterfall and recovery analysis models
  • Covenant compliance and sensitivity tracking grids
  • Comprehensive credit underwriting committee memoranda
  • Quarterly debt portfolio surveillance summaries
Institutional Research Mandates

Accelerate Your Credit Workflows

Connect with our research team to structure an engagement around your specific transaction or coverage requirements.

Public Markets•Private Capital•Credit•Investment Banking•SPACs•Family Offices•Wealth Management